Blight Forces:

• No real idea, but probably as large as the entire Seanchan Corenne, based on the fact that the Portal Stone to Toman Head, showed the Seanchan conquering the world, and then being overthrown by the Trollocs. Of course, you have to factor in Seanchan darkfriends etc.
• Also, huge size is indicated by the fact that Ishy, doesn't seem to mind the losses at Tarwin's Gap. But this could be just bluff.

Borderlanders:

• Balwer reports to Pedron that he doesn't think that there could possibly be any more than 15,000 Saldaens in Andor, because to take any more would be to weaken the border defences overmuch.
• There doesn't seem to be any marked difference in Borderland strenghts, so I'll assume they are all equal. So, I recokon that each Borderland has an effective army of 15k, with maybe, another 5k who are rooted at the border.
• This means that
  1. Saldaea has an effective force of 6k left to play with.
  2. Arafel, and Kandor have the full complement.
  3. Shienar; probably somewhat weaker, say around 10-12k, still recovering from Tarwin's Gap.
• Of course I should just mention that the asumption of equality is very shaky, considering the relative size of Saldaea.

Tar Valon:

Younglings;

• Well we are told straight out that 581 went south with Gawyn, and that there were some left behind, as they were too young to go to Cairhien.
• Now, we are told that Gawyn leads fewer than 200 men back to the tower, so adding in those who never left...
• I put youngling strength at 200.

Tar Valon Guard

• Commanded by High Capt. Chubain, but I have no real idea of the size. Only that it is growing ie. The keeper wishes it to, so it does. hehehe.
• Best guess; I reckon 5-10k. I can't see it being less that 5k, because the tower has so many enemies, and I can't see it being more than 10k, because TV, at the end of the day, is still just a city state in the middle of a river, with only a few outlying villages under it's control.

Tower AS + Warders

• This is tricky. We are told, by Taim, and Egwene for example, that there are fewer than 1k AS in total.
• Also we are told that the tower was split down the middle. So I'll assume 900AS in total, giving the Tower 450.
• Of course, more sisters might have gone to the tower, or at least might shun the rebels, reasoning along the same lines as Cadsuame ie. the Tower is the Tower.
• Also we have to factor in Eladia's blunders.
  1. There were 33 AS involved in the trip to TV after the taking. 12 return to the Tower. 1 captured by Shaido. 3 Stilled. Which gives a death total of 17.
  2. Then there's the Black Tower raid involving 50 Sisters + 200 guards. It's unclear if (m)any of them survive.
• So, I'll give the tower a provisional 400 AS.
• With about 300 warders, taking the Red Ajah into account.

Novices and Accepted;

• Before the split there were approx 40 Novices, and fewer than 50 Accepted. We know that 18 novices left with the SAS, which fits with my general slightly-less-than-half, rule of thumb.
• Also, the relative lack of active recruitment suggests that these numbers are fairly stagnent.
• So, I'll give the Tower say....23 Novices, and 25 Accepted.

Arad Doman:

Civil wars, dragonsworn, the losses against the first Seanchan on Toman Head, all point to a fairly small Domani army.

Have the Seanchan invaded ? Well there's some slight evidence in the North-East, South-West prophecy, which would suggest that they have. Note the use of the passive for the West-South bit. If they have invaded, there are likely to be rebels for a while to come yet.

Don't forget that one of the Great Captains resides in Arad Doman. He was mentioned twice in the series, so he'll appear again (?)

Cairhien:

Well, first off the

Native forces

So, I'll break it down as follows.

• Cairhienien Army; 9k. Started with 10k+, assume +/-1000 of those were the Queen's personal lapdogs, and probably unavailable to Rand, but then again it is Cairhien we are talking about.
• Friendly Rebels; 2,500.
• Unfriendly Rebels; 2,500.
• There were 10k rebels altogether with 2 seperate leaders, one of whom is now loyal to Rand. Assume the Fog destroyed half the total, killing some and causing others to run off permanently, and that leaves each side with 2.5k.

Aiel;

Spears

• Pre the Second Aiel War, the four had 160k+ spears, and the 7 had 320k+ spears, and allowing for losses of 30k+ in the one day battle, plus the fight with a small portion of the Shaido around the time of Dumani's wells.
• That gives Rand's Aiel 450k - and with 200k in Tear/Illian and a handful patroling Caemlyn, that leaves 250k- in Cairhien.

Wise Ones;

• When Egwene is talking about there being 1000- AS, she says that there are more WO's maybe many more.
• However we have to consider the relative lack of channeling ability of some of these WOs eg. Sorelia's flickering flame.
• So, best guestimate....1k WOs.
• Excluding the 200-250 that belong to the Shaido, that leaves 750-800 channeling WOs loyal to Rand.

Andor;

The Queen's Guards

• They have taken a bit of a tumble lately, what with Rhavin dismissing some of the more loyal ones, or sending them off to fight in Cairhien.
• Also, his personal forces are probably disbanded at this stage.
• Also, many of the Queen's men wouldn't exactly rush to Rand's banner.
• On the other hand, now that they have a Steward to flock behind, many of them have probably fallen into line.
• So, conisdering the relative size of Andor, and all the above factors... I'd put it's effective army at approx. 15-20k, but that's speculation pure and simple.

Now, for Rand's forces....

Saldaen Light Horse;

Legion of the Dragon:

• 15k+ and increasing.
• Bashere tells us of 15K trained men, with more arriving daily, due to Taim's sweeping method of collecting Dragonsworn.

Black Tower Asha'man;

• Alviarian's agent reports enough food for more than 400 hundred people, going to the Black Tower, at the start of aCoS.
• However, given the residence of women and children this is probably exaggerated.
• OTOH, 400, seems right when you consider that Al's info. is a little out of date, and also the continuing recruitment drive.

Caemlyn Aiel;

Of No Fixed Abode

Salidar Aes Sedai:

Sisters

• As discussed above with the Tower AS, the split probably favoured the tower forces slightly.
• So, I'll give the SAS 350 Sisters, with 400- warders, taking the lack of reds into account.

Novices and Accepted

• As discussed with the TAS, the split was relatively even.
• However the active searches conducted by the SAS probably lead to a much higher number of trainees.

Byrne's Army; 20k
The Band; 10k

• When Mat arrives in Salidar the band contains 6k.
• And his chief scout Vanin, reports that the SAS army is approx. twice as big.
• Both armies have been ingathering on their travels. Byrne has the advantage of being Byrne, and having the bigger force, but the disadvantage, that very few southerners actually like AS.
• Also, The Band, has the advantage of their reputation for luck.
• So I'll assume an equal rate of ingathering. Although Byrne gathters more men because he has more to start with.
• When asked about his contact with the Band, he tells the Sisters that they number 10k. So, an equal recruitment rate : initial size, would give him twice what the Band has ie. 20k.

Shaido Aiel:

Spears;

• We know that there were a total of 40k spears at Dumani's Wells. They sustained heavy losses, at the hands of the Younglings, the Tower AS, the wolves, Perrin's sundry forces, and of course the Asha'man.
• However when you factor in the return of the blocking force sent down south to Cairhien, you can probably bump the Shaido back up to 40k.
• Sammael's fool boxes leave them scattered, and
• The Asha'man, report contact with approx. 9-10k Shaido Aiel altoghether. However judging the Moshaine Shaido who totaled fewer than 6000 Aiel, and we know that only 1k Moshaine + 200 Mera'din could be counted as spears. Given the likelihood that the Asha'man probably can't tell one Shaido from another, this 9-10k, probably only accounts for 1,800 or so spears.
• So, all told, there are approx. 35-40k Shaido Spears scattered about, with the improtant caveat that the more powerful Wise Ones are grouped together.

Wise Ones;

Tear:

Tairean Rebels;

• I really have no idea how many there are, but maybe around 10k.
• However these will either turn, or be dealt with, once the High Lord in Cairhien becomes King of Tear.

Forces form Tear and Cairhien;

• We don't know the exact ratio of T : C troops, but there are probably more Taireans, as it's their home turf, and the commander of the joint forces is from Tear.
• Numbers are probably around the 40k mark, we know this because on one of Rands visits down we learn that there are 200k Aiel, either there or about to arive and that the Aiel outnumber the wetlanders 5:1.

Aiel;

We are told that there are under 200k there, with a few more yet to arrive, so by the time of the actual invasion 200k seems accurate.

Illian:

• Probably quite a large army, given that they have been building their defences for a couple of books now.
• Also, the indication that all the food in Illian was required to feed the army gives us some idea of it's size.
• At a guess I'd say that they have about 20k+, or to put it another way... slightly more than the full fighting force of Saldaea.

Murandy and Altara:

• No armies to speak of, but probably full of lesser lords and lordlings with maybe 1k groups or smaller.
• However, they can at times act together. eg. The capture of the False Dragon. Same could happen again with the Seanchan, but I doubt it.

The Kin;

Ghaeldan:

The Queen's Army;

• The Queen's Army probably isn't that large, given that we are dealing with a smallish Southern state.
• We know of a couple of battles with the Dragonsworn. One of which concerned an army of 2k defeated by the Prophet's mobs.
• Given the Queen's respect for the Prophet, I can't see her army being anything more than say 5-7k.

The Prophet's Dragonsworn Army;

Perrin's Army;

• Command: Perrin+Faile (..also Aram...) and Berelain.
• Archers: Fewer than 300 Two Rivers Bowmen.
• Cavalry: Bertain Gallenne leading 900+ Winged Guards.
• Foot: Approx 28 Aiel (...Gaul + Maidens...), + approx. 25 in Selende's Society
• Channelers:
  • Aes Sedai --- Masuri ( Brown + 1 warder ), Seonid ( Green +2)
  • Asha'man --- Grady ( Dedicated ), and Neald ( Soldier )
  • Wise Ones --- Edarra + 5 others.

Amadicia:

Ailron's Army;

Children of the Light;

• The loss of Bornhold's legion is more than frowned upon, but it doesn't exactly shake the children to their knees or anything.
• There were 2,000 Children stationed on the western border (.....Guardians of the Southern Gate! hehehe....)
• Niall's initial offer to Morgase gave her 'command' of 5k Children. with 1k to be stationed permantely in Caemlyn.
• Niall's successor, was able to bring a legion, under his personal command into the fortress to boost his claims.
• The rise and rise of Rand al'Thor, the latest in a long line of False Dragons is also likely to bring fresh recruits to Amador.
• So, at a very unsatisfactory guess, I'd say the Whitecloaks number 15k.
• Of course some were captured in the battle for the Fortress of Light, but most of them were up north at the time, fighting the Dragonsworn.

Tarabon:

Anti-Seanchan Rebels;

Pro-Seanchan Forces;

Sea Folk

Windfinders

Windfinder's training appears to be fairly limited. Witness the captivity of so many Sea Folk ships at the hands of Damane equiped Seanchan ships.

The Seanchan:

I don't have an exact figure for this, but OTOH.....

• When Bayle sails to Falme he estimates 200+ ships.
• Of course some of these were destroyed in the battle at Falme, some sailed back home, but we are told that Suroth has command of almost all the ships involved in the return. So let's just say 200+/-.
• I have no idea how many men you could fit per ship, but they were also carrying horses, grolm, flying things, and s'redit.
• I don't know the number of damane they have, only that they had 'scores', lined up to fight Bornhold's Whitecloaks, and that some escaped in the debacle at Falme.
• However, they probably aren't as awesome as some people think - given the fact that , according to the Jendai Prophecy, they are going to be driven back a second time.
• Deathwatch Ogier. I have no idea how many there are, or even if they'll ever make an appearance in the books, but here's hoping.

Comments, suggestions, and improvements are of course welcome.